Wall Street RegretsThe regret calculator.

What if you'd held NAIL?

A $1,000 investment in Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X ETF (NAIL) at the month-end close of 2015-08 would be worth $965 at the close of 2026-09 — -3.5% total return, dividends reinvested. The same $1,000 in the S&P 500, dividends reinvested, would be worth $4,720.

$1,000 since 2015$965Total return-3.5%Multiple0.96×CAGR-0.3%

Your scenario

Dates resolve to the nearest month-end close.
Leave empty for "held until today".
Invested at each month-end. Starts on the buy date.

Result

Worth$965Gain+$-35.08 (-3.5%)Multiple1.0×CAGR-0.3%

    If you'd bought $1,000 at the start of each year

    Value of $1,000 invested on January 1 of each year, held to 2026-09, dividends included.

    2015$9652016$1,0852017$1,2362018$3352019$1,2882020$4522021$6662022$2482023$1,0032024$2792025$3612026$607

    Every year, $1,000 from 2015

    YearValue of $1,000Year return
    2015$1,000
    2016$878-12.2%
    2017$3,236+268.7%
    2018$843-74.0%
    2019$2,398+184.6%
    2020$1,629-32.1%
    2021$4,369+168.2%
    2022$1,082-75.2%
    2023$3,891+259.7%
    2024$3,003-22.8%
    2025$1,789-40.4%
    2026$1,085-39.3%

    Best and worst month-end to buy

    The best single month-end close to have bought NAIL was 2020-03 ($9.99): $1,000 then is $3,001 today. The worst was 2024-09 ($166): $1,000 then is $180.

    FAQ

    What would $1,000 in NAIL be worth today?

    A $1,000 investment in Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X ETF (NAIL) at the start of 2015 would be worth about $965 today, a total return of -3.5%. Dividends are reinvested in these figures.

    What were the best and worst years for NAIL?

    Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X ETF (NAIL)'s strongest calendar year since 2015 was 2017, a +268.7% return — $1,000 held through that year became about $3,687 by year-end. Its weakest year was 2022, at -75.2%.

    Does the calculator include dividends and splits?

    Yes where available. Prices are adjusted for both stock splits and reinvested dividends (total return), the same measure brokerages use.

    How much would $100 per month in NAIL have grown?

    Investing $100 at the end of every month since 2015-08 would have grown to about $9,441 on $13,400 invested.

    Did NAIL beat the S&P 500?

    Over the same period, $1,000 in the S&P 500 with dividends reinvested (the S&P 500 Total Return index) would be worth $4,720. NAIL trailed the S&P 500 by +79.6% in total return.

    Is this investment advice?

    No. Wall Street Regrets is an entertainment and education tool. Every number is a historical calculation, not a prediction, and past performance never guarantees future results.

    Methodology

    Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X ETF (NAIL) historical total-return data from 2015-08 to 2026-09, reduced to month-end closes for the tables above.

    Returns use adjusted close prices — adjusted for stock splits and reinvested dividends, the same convention used by major brokerages. End-of-day and live prices come from EODHD; parts of the deep historical series are carried over from Yahoo Finance data. A "year" scenario invests $1,000 at the prior December's month-end close and values it at the latest available month-end close. Non-USD amounts are converted at historical month-end exchange rates (EODHD): to USD on the buy date and back to your currency at the latest rate, so the return reflects the currency move as well as the asset.

    Month-end resolution means intra-month extremes are not captured in tables; the calculator uses exact trading-day closes where daily data is available. Figures ignore taxes, fees, and the currency effects of non-USD listings. History is not a forecast. Wall Street Regrets is entertainment, not investment advice.

    Full methodology →

    What if you'd held…

    Data: adjusted close prices via EODHD and Yahoo Finance. As of 2026-09-23. Not financial advice.