Wall Street RegretsThe regret calculator.

What if you'd held VTV?

A $1,000 investment in Vanguard Morningstar Value ETF (VTV) at the month-end close of 2004-01 would be worth $8,250 at the close of 2026-09 — +725.0% total return, dividends reinvested. The same $1,000 in the S&P 500, dividends reinvested, would be worth $10,467.

$1,000 since 2004$8,250Total return+725.0%Multiple8.2×CAGR+9.8%

Your scenario

Dates resolve to the nearest month-end close.
Leave empty for "held until today".
Invested at each month-end. Starts on the buy date.

Result

Worth$8,250Gain+$7,250 (+725.0%)Multiple8.2×CAGR+9.8%

    If you'd bought $1,000 at the start of each year

    Value of $1,000 invested on January 1 of each year, held to 2026-09, dividends included.

    2004$8,2502005$7,2472006$6,7602007$5,5232008$5,5302009$8,6242010$7,1942011$6,2822012$6,2132013$5,3932014$4,0532015$3,5812016$3,6162017$3,0882018$2,6362019$2,7892020$2,2202021$2,1692022$1,7142023$1,7512024$1,6012025$1,3812026$1,198

    Every year, $1,000 from 2004

    YearValue of $1,000Year return
    2004$1,000
    2005$1,072+7.2%
    2006$1,312+22.4%
    2007$1,310-0.1%
    2008$840-35.9%
    2009$1,007+19.9%
    2010$1,154+14.5%
    2011$1,166+1.1%
    2012$1,344+15.2%
    2013$1,788+33.1%
    2014$2,024+13.2%
    2015$2,004-1.0%
    2016$2,347+17.1%
    2017$2,749+17.1%
    2018$2,598-5.5%
    2019$3,265+25.7%
    2020$3,341+2.3%
    2021$4,228+26.5%
    2022$4,140-2.1%
    2023$4,525+9.3%
    2024$5,247+16.0%
    2025$6,048+15.3%
    2026$7,247+19.8%

    Best and worst month-end to buy

    The best single month-end close to have bought VTV was 2009-02 ($20.18): $1,000 then is $11,222 today. The worst was 2026-09 ($226): $1,000 then is $1,000.

    FAQ

    What would $1,000 in VTV be worth today?

    A $1,000 investment in Vanguard Morningstar Value ETF (VTV) at the start of 2004 would be worth about $8,250 today, a total return of +725.0%. Dividends are reinvested in these figures.

    What were the best and worst years for VTV?

    Vanguard Morningstar Value ETF (VTV)'s strongest calendar year since 2004 was 2013, a +33.1% return — $1,000 held through that year became about $1,331 by year-end. Its weakest year was 2008, at -35.9%.

    Does the calculator include dividends and splits?

    Yes where available. Prices are adjusted for both stock splits and reinvested dividends (total return), the same measure brokerages use.

    How much would $100 per month in VTV have grown?

    Investing $100 at the end of every month since 2004-01 would have grown to about $114,739 on $27,300 invested.

    Did VTV beat the S&P 500?

    Over the same period, $1,000 in the S&P 500 with dividends reinvested (the S&P 500 Total Return index) would be worth $10,467. VTV trailed the S&P 500 by +21.2% in total return.

    Is this investment advice?

    No. Wall Street Regrets is an entertainment and education tool. Every number is a historical calculation, not a prediction, and past performance never guarantees future results.

    Methodology

    Vanguard Morningstar Value ETF (VTV) historical total-return data from 2004-01 to 2026-09, reduced to month-end closes for the tables above.

    Returns use adjusted close prices — adjusted for stock splits and reinvested dividends, the same convention used by major brokerages. End-of-day and live prices come from EODHD; parts of the deep historical series are carried over from Yahoo Finance data. A "year" scenario invests $1,000 at the prior December's month-end close and values it at the latest available month-end close. Non-USD amounts are converted at historical month-end exchange rates (EODHD): to USD on the buy date and back to your currency at the latest rate, so the return reflects the currency move as well as the asset.

    Month-end resolution means intra-month extremes are not captured in tables; the calculator uses exact trading-day closes where daily data is available. Figures ignore taxes, fees, and the currency effects of non-USD listings. History is not a forecast. Wall Street Regrets is entertainment, not investment advice.

    Full methodology →

    What if you'd held…

    Data: adjusted close prices via EODHD and Yahoo Finance. As of 2026-09-04. Not financial advice.